9 decided picks is too few to judge a model on. The interval above is wide for that reason, and it is the honest reading of this sample — the full record across every player is where the numbers have enough behind them to mean something.
By market
Runs batted inwithdrawn0–3n = 3
Hits1–2n = 3
Runs scoredwithdrawn2–1n = 3
Priced right now
Runs batted in under 0.5
draftkings · market withdrawn
-293
6.2%
Every pick published on Brett Sullivan10
Date
Market
Pick
Price
Actual
Result
Aug 20, 2026
Runs batted in
under 0.5
-293
—
Pending
Aug 18, 2026
Runs batted in
under 0.5
-300
1
Lost
Aug 18, 2026
Hits
under 0.5
+101
1
Lost
Aug 18, 2026
Runs scored
under 0.5
-243
0
Won
Aug 15, 2026
Runs batted in
over 0.5
+289
0
Lost
Aug 15, 2026
Hits
under 0.5
+115
0
Won
Aug 15, 2026
Runs scored
over 0.5
+215
0
Lost
Aug 15, 2026
Runs batted in
over 0.5
+341
0
Lost
Aug 15, 2026
Hits
under 0.5
+105
2
Lost
Aug 15, 2026
Runs scored
over 0.5
+227
2
Won
Runs batted in — Withdrawn 2026-08-18: measured -8.4% return over 1,241 graded picks. Still priced and explained, no longer recommended. Runs scored — Withdrawn 2026-08-18: measured -6.9% return over 1,190 graded picks. Still priced and explained, no longer recommended.