10 decided picks is too few to judge a model on. The interval above is wide for that reason, and it is the honest reading of this sample — the full record across every player is where the numbers have enough behind them to mean something.
By market
Runs scoredwithdrawn3–1n = 4
Hits1–2n = 3
Runs batted inwithdrawn1–2n = 3
Priced right now
No line is priced on this player at the moment. The MLB board has whatever is live.
Every pick published on Isiah Kiner-Falefa11
Date
Market
Pick
Price
Actual
Result
Sep 9, 2026
Runs scored
under 0.5
-175
0
Won
Sep 8, 2026
Hits
under 0.5
+134
—
Void
Sep 5, 2026
Hits
under 0.5
+170
1
Lost
Sep 5, 2026
Runs scored
under 0.5
-220
0
Won
Sep 5, 2026
Runs batted in
under 0.5
-325
2
Lost
Sep 3, 2026
Hits
under 0.5
+148
1
Lost
Sep 3, 2026
Runs batted in
under 0.5
-350
1
Lost
Sep 3, 2026
Runs scored
under 0.5
-220
0
Won
Sep 1, 2026
Runs scored
over 0.5
+195
0
Lost
Sep 1, 2026
Hits
under 0.5
+150
0
Won
Sep 1, 2026
Runs batted in
under 0.5
-325
0
Won
Runs scored — Withdrawn 2026-08-18: measured -6.9% return over 1,190 graded picks. Still priced and explained, no longer recommended. Runs batted in — Withdrawn 2026-08-18: measured -8.4% return over 1,241 graded picks. Still priced and explained, no longer recommended.