LF · WSH · #4
13 decided picks is too few to judge a model on. The interval above is wide for that reason, and it is the honest reading of this sample — the full record across every player is where the numbers have enough behind them to mean something.
By market
Hits under 0.5
betmgm · recommended
+155
5.5%
Runs scored under 0.5
betmgm · market withdrawn
-190
0.2%
Runs batted in under 0.5
betmgm · market withdrawn
-225
0.2%
| Date | Market | Pick | Price | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Runs batted in | over 0.5 | +205 | — | Pending |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Hits | under 0.5 | +155 | — | Pending |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Runs scored | under 0.5 | -190 | — | Pending |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Runs batted in | under 0.5 | -225 | — | Pending |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Runs scored |
| over 0.5 |
| +154 |
| — |
| Pending |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Runs batted in | under 0.5 | -235 | 0 | Won |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Runs scored | under 0.5 | -192 | 0 | Won |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Hits | under 0.5 | +158 | 1 | Lost |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Runs batted in | over 0.5 | +187 | 0 | Lost |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Runs batted in | over 0.5 | +219 | 0 | Lost |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hits | under 0.5 | +136 | 0 | Won |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Runs scored | over 0.5 | +175 | 0 | Lost |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Runs scored | under 0.5 | -169 | 0 | Won |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Runs batted in | under 0.5 | -220 | 0 | Won |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Runs scored | under 0.5 | -183 | 1 | Lost |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Runs batted in | over 0.5 | +196 | 1 | Won |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Runs batted in | under 0.5 | -235 | 3 | Lost |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Runs scored | over 0.5 | +160 | 0 | Lost |
Runs batted in — Withdrawn 2026-08-18: measured -8.4% return over 1,241 graded picks. Still priced and explained, no longer recommended. Runs scored — Withdrawn 2026-08-18: measured -6.9% return over 1,190 graded picks. Still priced and explained, no longer recommended.