3B · LAA · #23
15 decided picks is too few to judge a model on. The interval above is wide for that reason, and it is the honest reading of this sample — the full record across every player is where the numbers have enough behind them to mean something.
By market
Hits under 0.5
draftkings · recommended
+105
5.6%
Runs scored under 0.5
draftkings · market withdrawn
-274
1.1%
Runs batted in over 0.5
draftkings · market withdrawn
+297
0.3%
| Date | Market | Pick | Price | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Runs batted in | over 0.5 | +297 | — | Pending |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Runs batted in | under 0.5 | -325 | — | Pending |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Hits | under 0.5 | +105 | — | Pending |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Runs scored | under 0.5 | -274 | — | Pending |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Runs scored |
| under 0.5 |
| -225 |
| 0 |
| Won |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Runs batted in | under 0.5 | -295 | 0 | Won |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Runs batted in | over 0.5 | +250 | 0 | Lost |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Hits | under 0.5 | +105 | 1 | Lost |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Runs scored | under 0.5 | -216 | 0 | Won |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Runs batted in | under 0.5 | -275 | 0 | Won |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hits | under 0.5 | +110 | 1 | Lost |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Runs scored | under 0.5 | -225 | 1 | Lost |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Runs batted in | under 0.5 | -295 | 0 | Won |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Runs batted in | over 0.5 | +250 | 1 | Won |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Runs scored | over 0.5 | +200 | 2 | Won |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Runs batted in | under 0.5 | -285 | 1 | Lost |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Runs scored | under 0.5 | -220 | 1 | Lost |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Runs scored | under 0.5 | -220 | 0 | Won |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Runs batted in | under 0.5 | -300 | 0 | Won |
Runs batted in — Withdrawn 2026-08-18: measured -8.4% return over 1,241 graded picks. Still priced and explained, no longer recommended. Runs scored — Withdrawn 2026-08-18: measured -6.9% return over 1,190 graded picks. Still priced and explained, no longer recommended.