11 decided picks is too few to judge a model on. The interval above is wide for that reason, and it is the honest reading of this sample — the full record across every player is where the numbers have enough behind them to mean something.
By market
Runs batted inwithdrawn3–2n = 5
Hits1–2n = 3
Runs scoredwithdrawn1–2n = 3
Priced right now
Runs batted in under 0.5
betmgm · market withdrawn
-275
6.2%
Every pick published on Connor Norby13
Date
Market
Pick
Price
Actual
Result
Aug 20, 2026
Runs batted in
under 0.5
-275
—
Pending
Aug 20, 2026
Hits
under 0.5
+120
—
Pending
Aug 19, 2026
Runs batted in
under 0.5
-294
1
Lost
Aug 18, 2026
Runs batted in
under 0.5
-325
0
Won
Aug 18, 2026
Hits
under 0.5
+108
1
Lost
Aug 18, 2026
Runs scored
under 0.5
-221
1
Lost
Aug 15, 2026
Hits
under 0.5
+120
1
Lost
Aug 15, 2026
Runs scored
under 0.5
-250
0
Won
Aug 15, 2026
Runs batted in
under 0.5
-325
0
Won
Aug 15, 2026
Hits
under 0.5
+119
0
Won
Aug 15, 2026
Runs scored
under 0.5
-246
1
Lost
Aug 15, 2026
Runs batted in
over 0.5
+284
0
Lost
Aug 15, 2026
Runs batted in
under 0.5
-325
0
Won
Runs batted in — Withdrawn 2026-08-18: measured -8.4% return over 1,241 graded picks. Still priced and explained, no longer recommended. Runs scored — Withdrawn 2026-08-18: measured -6.9% return over 1,190 graded picks. Still priced and explained, no longer recommended.