3B · WSH · #84
8 decided picks is too few to judge a model on. The interval above is wide for that reason, and it is the honest reading of this sample — the full record across every player is where the numbers have enough behind them to mean something.
By market
Hits under 0.5
draftkings · recommended
-105
8.5%
Runs scored under 0.5
draftkings · market withdrawn
-295
4.9%
Runs batted in under 0.5
draftkings · market withdrawn
-438
2.0%
| Date | Market | Pick | Price | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Hits | under 0.5 | -105 | — | Pending |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Runs scored | under 0.5 | -295 | — | Pending |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Runs batted in | under 0.5 | -438 | — | Pending |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Runs batted in | under 0.5 | -450 | 0 | Won |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Runs batted in |
| over 0.5 |
| +393 |
| 0 |
| Lost |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Runs scored | under 0.5 | -300 | 0 | Won |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Hits | under 0.5 | -109 | 0 | Won |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Runs batted in | under 0.5 | -350 | 0 | Won |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Runs scored | under 0.5 | -235 | 0 | Won |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Runs batted in | under 0.5 | -375 | 1 | Lost |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Runs scored | under 0.5 | -275 | 1 | Lost |
Runs batted in — Withdrawn 2026-08-18: measured -8.4% return over 1,241 graded picks. Still priced and explained, no longer recommended. Runs scored — Withdrawn 2026-08-18: measured -6.9% return over 1,190 graded picks. Still priced and explained, no longer recommended.